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By Dan Rudy 

Pink salmon forecast projects average year


Submitted ADF&G diagram

This chart compares annual harvests of pink salmon in Southeast Alaska to Alaska Department of Fish and Game preseason forecasts from 1998 to the present. The 2016 forecast is predicting an average year for pinks, on par with last year's disappointing harvest.

The upcoming pink salmon run is expected to be about the same size as that in 2015, according to this month's Alaska Department of Fish and Game forecast.

ADF&G predicts the 2016 harvest will be strong, with a point estimate of 34 million pink salmon. The forecast was produced by projecting the trend in harvest averages for the period spanning between 1960 and 2010, adjusted using 2015 juvenile pink salmon abundance data.

Adjustments were made using peak June-July juvenile pink salmon catch-per-unit-effort statistics provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Auke Bay Lab...

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